Piggy Bank Estimations

Here are some interesting results regarding the recent Piggy Bank challenge.

Below are two graphs representing reader estimates.  The graph on the left (Part 1) shows reader estimates without knoweldge of the weight of the Piggy Bank.  The graph on the right (Part 2) shows reader estimates with knowledge of the weight.

piggy bank graphs

The red bars represent the actual value of the Piggy Bank:  $80.41.   Not only are there significantly more “close” estimates in Part 2, the average estimate is $70.02; this is about 13% less than the actual value.  Compare that with the average estimate in Part 1 of $46.98, which is about 41% less than the actual value.

Did readers actually use the knowledge of the weights to make a better “guesstimation”?  Or is this perhaps an example of the anchoring effect?

Related Posts

Mathematical Knitting

klein bottle hatOn the face of it, it’s hard to imagine two things as unrelated as mathematics and knitting.    And yet, here we have a website devoted to mathematical knitting:

http://www.toroidalsnark.net/mathknit.html

A Klein-bottle hat (seen at right)?  A Mobius scarf?  Ingenious stuff, and a testament to our unlimited creativity and resourcefulness, if not our practicality.

The Klein bottle hat actually reminds me of the Klein bottle one of my students made out of plaster.

Mechanical Calculator

Curta calculatorThis videos demonstrates the absolutely amazing Curta Mechanical Calculator.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HYsOi6L_Pw4

Invented in the 1940s, this is an entirely mechanical multiplication device.  To operate it, you set the sliders on the side to the first number, and then turn the crank on top an appropriate number of times to multiply by the second number.  Because of it’s obvious resemblance, this is affectionately known as the pepper-grinder calculator.

In the video, the narrator takes his Curta apart and explains a bit of the inner-workings of the device.

If they don’t have one already, the Calculator Museum should definitely make acquiring a Curta a top priority!

Thanks to Ivan for showing me this!

More in 3D Printing

As has been previous noted, I am very exci3D printed fluteted about the burgeoning era of 3-D Printing.  Here is another amazing example of where this technology is heading:  a computer printed concert-quality flute!

https://www.engadget.com/2010/12/29/3d-printed-concert-flute-rapidly-prototypes-sound-video/

After the 15-hour printing process with an Objet Connex500, a printer that applies several different raw materials, all that reamined was some minor assembly.  And, of course, some test-flauting!  Check out the video to the quality of the flute for yourself.

More Metrocard Calculations

Inspired by the recent increases in fares for public transit in NYC, I used Geogebra to put together a little graph to compare the various consumer options.

metrocard graphs

The solid red line represents the unlimited monthly card, and this costs $104 regardless of how many times it is used.  The solid blue line represents a pay-per-ride strategy, plotting the total cost against the number of rides purchased.

These lines intersect at the point (49.46 , 104), meaning that the two plans are equivalent if one rides 49.46 times per month.  Graphically, you can see that pay-per-ride is a better value for less than 49.46 rides (it’s lower than the red line), and is a worse value above that number (higher than the red line).

The dotted lines factor in the discount many New Yorkers enjoy by using pre-tax dollars to purchase transit cards.  The use of pre-tax dollars saves you whatever you would have paid in income taxes on that amount:  for New York City residents, the combination of federal, state, and city taxes is around 35% for typical earners.   The discount affects both plans equally, so the point of intersection of the two dashed lines occurs at the same number of rides as the POI of the solid lines.

An astute observer might wonder why the equation of the solid blue line is not y = 2.25 x.  While the fare is indeed $2.25 per ride, by pre-purchasing rides in bulk you receive a 7% discount.  This changes the effective fare per ride, which is taken into consideration in the above graph.  A trip over to the metrocard bonus calculator might shed some light on the subject.

Follow

Get every new post delivered to your Inbox

Join other followers: